The Old Guard Has the Offices – The Youth Have the Future

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Nigeria’s political establishment still occupies most of the formal seats of power, but the country’s demographic reality is moving in another direction. Young Nigerians form a large share of the population and electorate, yet their political influence has often remained greater in numbers than in institutional power. The central question is no longer whether young people matter to Nigeria’s future, but whether they can convert demographic weight into durable political and economic influence.

For decades, political parties have understood the electoral value of young people without necessarily creating sufficient pathways for them into decision making. Youth are frequently mobilised during campaigns, while access to meaningful political leadership remains constrained by established networks, financial barriers and the cost of political participation. This creates a damaging imbalance: a generation large enough to determine electoral outcomes can remain too marginal to shape the institutions that determine economic opportunity, public services and national policy.

Yet demographics alone do not produce political change. A large youth population can remain politically fragmented, economically vulnerable and institutionally weak. The more important task is to build capacity: stronger civic organisations, credible political platforms, policy literacy, entrepreneurship, professional networks and young leaders who understand that public office is an obligation rather than a reward. Without these foundations, youth politics risks becoming another instrument for established interests rather than a force for institutional renewal.

The same caution applies to the growing attraction of charismatic political figures. Personal popularity can generate attention and mobilisation, but neither guarantees administrative competence nor creates institutions capable of surviving a personality. Political movements become durable when they develop coherent ideas, credible organisation, competent teams and mechanisms for succession. For young voters, the lesson should be simple: political excitement deserves scrutiny, and eloquence should never be confused with capacity.

This matters especially in regions such as Kogi East, where the debate about political representation increasingly intersects with questions of development, opportunity and generational renewal. The region does not simply need younger politicians. It needs a political ecosystem in which young professionals, entrepreneurs, academics, community organisers and public servants can compete on competence and ideas rather than merely inherit established structures. Generational change without institutional change would amount to changing the occupants while preserving the architecture.

Nigeria’s youth therefore face a more demanding task than replacing an older political class. They must build the institutions, ideas and economic foundations that make better leadership possible. The old guard may control many of today’s offices, but no generation controls the future permanently. That future will belong to those capable of turning demographic strength into productive citizenship, political organisation and accountable government. The real test of Nigeria’s youth is not whether they can take power, but whether they can use it to build a system that works when personality, patronage and political fashion have passed.

– Inah Boniface Ocholi writes from Ayah – Igalamela/Odolu LGA, Kogi state.
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