The article titled “The Hard Truth: Why Repeating Ohere vs Natasha Is a Political Suicide Mission” is built on outdated assumptions and a selective reading of Kogi Central’s political realities. It attempts to portray Senator Abubakar Ohere as a weakened contender ahead of 2027, but the facts, structures, and shifting political mood reveal the opposite.
Today, Senator Ohere is stronger, more grounded, and more politically prepared than he was in 2023, while the PDP enters 2027 divided, disorganized, and legally unstable.
- The PDP is tattered, disunited, and politically disorganized
The writer ignores the most obvious political reality: the PDP machinery is at its weakest point in decades. Both in Kogi and at the national level, the party is:
fractured along bitter internal factions,
weakened by unresolved leadership crises,
drained of state-level influence, and
unable to maintain a coherent structure in Kogi Central.
A party that can not manage its internal affairs can not deliver an electoral upset in a district controlled by a highly organized, unified APC structure.
- Their Last Convention Was Not Monitored or Accepted by INEC A Political Time Bomb
INEC’s non-recognition of the PDP’s last convention is the most destructive red flag for 2027.
This means:
the PDP’s national leadership lacks full legitimacy,
its structures are shaky and legally vulnerable,
its primaries and candidates may face severe pre- and post-election legal battles,
and many nominations could be nullified in court.
No serious candidate or voter wants to gamble with a party unsure of its own legality.
This alone makes the PDP’s 2027 outing more of a political suicide mission than anything the article accuses APC of.
- The 2023 Election Was Not a Rejection of Ohere, It was a Courtroom technicality
The narrative that Natasha “defeated Ohere at the polls” is misleading.
On the ground:
APC votes were strong,
APC structures delivered,
Ohere led across several wards, and
the final margins were extremely narrow.
The seat changed hands after months of litigations, technical recalculations, and judicial interpretations, not because the electorate rejected Ohere.
The people of Kogi Central know this.
- The Political Winds Have Shifted, Natasha’s Momentum Has Faded
Natasha entered the office with hype and emotional momentum. But over time:
expectations have gone unmet,
her legislative impact is questionable,
and her initial sympathy wave has significantly declined.
Her popularity no longer translates into guaranteed electability.
- Ohere’s Grassroots Structure Is Stronger and More Consistent
Unlike politicians who depend on sudden popularity, Senator Ohere’s strength is built on decades of service and grassroots loyalty.
He maintains enduring networks across the 5 LGAs through:
traditional institutions,
APC ward structures,
market women associations,
youth blocs,
community influencers,
and political stakeholders across Kogi Central.
This type of structure, not emotion or online noise wins elections.
- APC Dominates Kogi and Enters 2027 United and Strategic
In Kogi politics, party strength is decisive. APC controls:
the state government,
the LG structures,
the political appointee network,
administrative machinery,
and a stable, uncontested party hierarchy.
APC enters 2027 stronger and more coordinated.
PDP enters 2027 fractured, uncertain, and legally unstable.
- Social media Popularity Is Not Electability, Natasha Faces Hard Questions
Popularity is emotional. Electability is structural.
In 2023, Natasha benefited from novelty and sympathy. In 2027, the conversation is shifting to:
What has she delivered?
Where are the constituency projects?
What is her legislative impact?
What has changed on the ground?
Emotional popularity can not replace electoral machinery.
- Ohere represents stability, Elexperience, and real performance
Senator Ohere’s record is visible and widely acknowledged:
as a technocrat in public works,
as a commissioner with tangible developmental achievements,
as a senator who initiated impactful projects before legal setbacks.
He offers stability, competence, and a proven governance history that resonates deeply across communities.
- Democracy Requires Contest, Not Fear or Manipulation
Trying to frighten APC into avoiding Ohere is not a strategy. It is political manipulation.
A strong democracy requires strong contenders.
Ohere is the strongest contender.
Avoiding him does not protect APC. It weakens it.
Conclusion: 2027 Is No Walkover, PDP Is in No Condition for War
The PDP enters the 2027 election with:
no united structure,
a convention unrecognized by INEC,
internal leadership confusion,
bitter factions,
and a fragile legal foundation.
Any candidate they present, including Natasha, faces a steeper, more chaotic, and more suicidal path than the writer admits.
Meanwhile, Senator Abubakar Ohere enters 2027 with:
a stronger APC,
a stronger grassroots network,
a stronger political structure,
and renewed momentum across Kogi Central.
Ohere can win. Ohere has won before. Ohere remains the most formidable contender in Kogi Central.
The myth of Natasha’s inevitability is politically outdated.
The 2027 race is wide open, and Senator Abubakar Ohere stands on the most strategic path to victory.
– Comrade Danfulani Lukman Ohinoyi writes from Okene.
