Nov. Polls: Empirical Analysis of 2015 vs 2019 Kogi Gov’ship Results and Next Action Plan

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First and foremost, I use this medium to appreciate everyone for their support for Alh Ododo Usman both the online platforms activity and physical meetings for wider consultation as well as political stakeholders engagement since he won APC Governorship primary election.

By 27th June, 2023 INEC will open their registration centers for voters registration update for new registration and transfer of PVC for the forth coming Kogi State Governorship election.

Celebration is over and it is now time for action. As we are all aware, elections are not won via social media platforms – there are no polling units on social media.

My good people of Kogi state, how people have you convinced to transfer their permanent voters card (PVC to) Kogi State? Our people that registered their PVC outside Kogi State are in hundreds.

I carried out empirical investigation using SWOT analysis for 2015 and 2019 governorship election results to show our strength and areas we need to improve upon before November 11 election.

From the above table, in the 2019 election APC won Okene, Okehi, Adavi and Ogori with percent gain of 662.6, 263.4, 333.5,109.2 and 90.5 respectively.

We need to encourage our brothers, sisters and friends to transfer their PVC back home to show to the world we mean business. If they agree and transfer their PVCs to Kogi State, it is possible to have above 200,000 votes in Okene, 100,000 votes in Adavi, 80,000 Votes in Okehi and 6,000 votes in Ogori/Magongo.

More importantly, we need to make more friends from other senatorial districts to improve our votes in those districts.

In 2019 election APC won with 406,222 votes to defeat PDP with scores of 189,704 votes. With your transferred PVC to Kogi state, we will win wider margin in the 2023 election.

Finally, I will like to remind you that the forth coming governorship polls in Kogi state is not just an election but it will also serve as referendum to correct misgivings, facts and figures which will force Kogites to a round table to charter a new flight for Kogi state of our dream.

The bad ontology of some Kogites need to be proved wrong; that being majority in voter registered does not guarantee electoral victory but the actual votes cast on election day, thanks to INEC BVAS.

The analysis above is brief for public consumption, detailed analysis of 2015 and 2019 election as well as forecast for 2023 election based on APC strength, weakness, opportunity and threat with other political party candidates will be forward to APC stakeholders to guide their decision in the forth coming election and we equally carried out PESTEL analogy of GYB administration with previous administration since 1999, with the achievements and grey areas, GYB indices top other administration which also gives APC good prospective in 2023 election.

By God grace, the emergence of APC and Alh Ododo Usman is certain but as we pray to God for victory, we need to do our bit as human.

The simple Maths is this, we have over 1,000 persons in our online group, let us assume we all register our PVCs at home, when we convince our brothers, sisters and friends to transfer theirs PVC, we have added another 1,000 voters to Alh Ododo Usman. This is one of the powers of online platforms we can use it to add value and ensure Alh Ododo Usman emerge winner.

In conclusion, I am appealing to EPA, EYC, students and trade unions to do the needful as we are going to make history.

This victory is not for APC, GYB or Ododo, it is victory for the unborn generation.

Think about your political status and relevance in Kogi state prior to the coming of Gov Yahaya Bello, the White Lion and prophet Moses (Musa) of our time. He has led us out of Egypt, we have crossed the red sea waiting for Ododo to take us to the promised land.

The Egypt that we see in Kogi politics today, our children will not see it anymore. 

– Bilal Omeiza Mewana
99, Ukowa Okene-eba,Okene,
Kogi State.
elderpaul8055@gmail.com


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